PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1E82E3Eb816aAf755AC9b44BC9d98F01b08AAF92-1772042958755

0x1e82e3eb816aaf755ac9b44bc9d98f01b08aaf92

Realised P&L
$73.5k
Volume
$9.83M
Markets traded
14,388
Open portfolio
$24.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14,388
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marinko Božović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.0310.049$2.71+$0.98
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0000.002$2.22+$2.22
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0000.001$1.48+$1.48
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.003$1.36+$1.36
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.003$1.15$13.21
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0000.001$1.06+$1.06
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.032$0.96$0.62
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$0.82+$0.82
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$0.82+$0.82
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.0250.002$0.79$9.08
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0000.001$0.74+$0.74
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0000.001$0.74+$0.74
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0000.001$0.74+$0.74
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? · Yes0.1110.135$0.55+$0.10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0770.545$0.55+$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 08:54Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.005$2.39
09-01 08:54Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.007$3.35
09-01 08:54Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.019$3.55
09-01 08:53Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.008$3.83
09-01 08:53Will Alex de Minaur win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.009$4.31
09-01 08:53Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0060748508$4.07
09-01 08:53Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.021$10.06
09-01 08:53Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.048$22.99
09-01 08:53Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.0158002765$79.21
09-01 08:52Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0165778605$171.05
09-01 08:52Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5197098718$238.85
08-17 08:54Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$3.56
08-17 08:54Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$10.03
08-17 08:54Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.19$23.56
08-17 08:54Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.0048134677$17.14