RFTurtle
0x1e6aae3555b9520b451003b808182455ebb45afd
- Realised P&L
- $-72.36
- Volume
- $946.11
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $28.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.01at 0.580Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$7.77at 0.243Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$7.01at 0.460Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?
- +$0.21at 0.480Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
- +$-1.00at 0.044Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:55 | Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 02:50 | Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 08-04 02:48 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.043 | $6.45 |
| 07-08 17:48 | Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 00:37 | Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 00:36 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.57 |
| 02-20 16:23 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 02-19 20:05 | Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4? | BUY | 0.0822315094 | $2.00 |
| 02-19 19:46 | Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.5886455331 | $2.04 |
| 02-19 19:29 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.3823528962 | $5.00 |
| 02-19 19:28 | Nipah virus in US by March 31? | BUY | 0.0373780313 | $1.00 |
| 02-19 18:16 | Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4? | BUY | 0.1462562768 | $6.56 |
| 02-19 18:12 | Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 02-11 06:55 | Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4? | BUY | 0.1464102564 | $5.71 |
| 02-09 06:24 | Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |