PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RFTurtle

0x1e6aae3555b9520b451003b808182455ebb45afd

Realised P&L
$-66.36
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$35.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Yes0.1700.215$14.63+$3.06
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4800.555$8.32+$1.12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.086$4.28$5.72
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.0300.024$2.35$0.65
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0430.013$1.88$4.57
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.056$1.73$3.27
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.0900.026$0.79$1.90
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$0.71$0.33
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0690.026$0.38$0.62
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? · Democratic0.5000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? · No0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Nipah virus in US by March 31? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$1.00
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$2.60
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 09:29Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.17$10.20
09-15 10:01Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.08$1.04
08-04 02:55Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.03$1.80
08-04 02:50Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.09$2.70
08-04 02:48Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.043$6.45
07-08 17:48Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.149999976$5.00
05-12 00:37Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.0689999387$1.00
05-12 00:36Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.12$1.57
02-20 16:23Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.4$2.00
02-19 20:05Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?BUY0.0822315094$2.00
02-19 19:46Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?SELL0.5886455331$2.04
02-19 19:29Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.3823528962$5.00
02-19 19:28Nipah virus in US by March 31?BUY0.0373780313$1.00
02-19 18:16Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?BUY0.1462562768$6.56
02-19 18:12Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.1899999373$2.00