0x1e5e22c159a4c19aecc2d85671914b760def40fb
- Realised P&L
- $-14.1k
- Volume
- $495.0k
- Markets traded
- 8,188
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,188
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.945 | 1.000 | $523.74 | +$28.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.839 | 1.000 | $520.73 | +$83.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.927 | 1.000 | $321.84 | +$23.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.777 | 1.000 | $249.88 | +$55.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.932 | 1.000 | $183.91 | +$12.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$255.55at 0.655Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6?
- +$198.37at 0.752Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?
- +$182.53at 0.404Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?
- +$141.37at 0.603Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 25?
- +$131.09at 0.155Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.97 |
| 09-18 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.78 | $10.14 |
| 09-18 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.925824436 | $199.44 |
| 09-18 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9561307692 | $24.86 |
| 09-18 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9438230769 | $24.54 |
| 09-18 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9369230769 | $24.36 |
| 09-18 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9369230769 | $24.36 |
| 09-18 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9369230769 | $24.36 |
| 09-18 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9345076923 | $24.30 |
| 09-18 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9227589744 | $287.90 |
| 09-18 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.88 | $24.64 |
| 09-18 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9553019231 | $298.05 |
| 09-18 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7396746341 | $70.25 |
| 09-18 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9297669811 | $197.11 |