0x1e5e22c159a4c19aecc2d85671914b760def40fb
- Realised P&L
- $-9.6k
- Volume
- $352.3k
- Markets traded
- 7,680
- Open portfolio
- $159.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,680
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes | 0.908 | 1.000 | $53.97 | +$4.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? · Yes | 0.910 | 1.000 | $53.97 | +$4.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? · Yes | 0.922 | 0.996 | $51.18 | +$3.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.40at 0.398Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?
- +$131.27at 0.155Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$119.92at 0.663Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?
- +$119.42at 0.128Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$109.25at 0.698Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9217299085 | $47.37 |
| 08-03 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.91 | $49.14 |
| 08-03 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9081481481 | $49.04 |
| 08-03 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8677192982 | $49.46 |
| 08-03 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $49.82 |
| 08-03 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9265377358 | $49.11 |
| 08-03 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9492307692 | $12.34 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.030745 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.8385084746 | $24.74 |
| 08-02 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.8481867284 | $21.99 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8854055556 | $47.81 |
| 08-02 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $49.40 |
| 08-02 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $49.80 |
| 08-02 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9347018868 | $49.54 |
| 08-02 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9484615385 | $49.32 |