ZZY1989
0x1e582c3f0ddf6e2e7c1aaf98f3dd68cd598cf540
- Realised P&L
- $216.47
- Volume
- $39.2k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $89.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes | 0.301 | 0.159 | $81.09 | −$72.64 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.020 | $8.00 | −$2.00 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$288.00 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$262.84 |
| Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$527.71at 0.018Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
- +$185.56at 0.347Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
- +$138.00at 0.260US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$119.99at 0.200Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$88.81at 0.277U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 11:36 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.5825600528 | $13.24 |
| 03-01 14:33 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 02-23 17:09 | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $97.80 |
| 02-23 16:34 | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $98.20 |
| 02-20 16:20 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $12.12 |
| 02-20 16:20 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.598 | $59.80 |
| 02-07 03:23 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 02-05 19:57 | GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $79.62 |
| 02-03 18:24 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 02-03 07:22 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 02-02 14:31 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 02-02 12:16 | SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 02-02 08:48 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 01-31 16:41 | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 01-30 08:21 | U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.50 |