sddgfhdg
0x1e5753ab5f02b110a8c15a37710fb262cf9a4c02
- Realised P&L
- $-77.40
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $7.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.29at 0.280US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$7.96at 0.359Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$7.86at 0.610Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$6.37at 0.410US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$5.85at 0.200US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 12:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.69 |
| 09-27 09:30 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" this week? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 08:14 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.77 |
| 09-22 18:10 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.5999998588 | $1.70 |
| 09-22 18:09 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.801 | $0.87 |
| 09-20 17:24 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.32 |
| 09-20 06:09 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8099997165 | $1.20 |
| 09-20 04:36 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.41 |
| 09-20 04:34 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.49 |
| 09-16 18:58 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.0196621359 | $0.30 |
| 09-16 18:44 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.5599999185 | $1.10 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 09-14 16:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |