PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1E4bFA44A185039f1DCAA51571D27AE388154fa6-1768854344102

0x1e4bfa44a185039f1dcaa51571d27ae388154fa6

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$50.8k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 21°C on November 1? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Up0.2790.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up0.0710.000$0.00−$80.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down0.2070.000$0.00−$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down0.6760.000$0.00−$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.4930.000$0.00−$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Down0.3320.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Down0.2630.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 2°C on October 31? · No0.8610.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$4.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$18.50
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on November 1? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:10Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 21°C on November 1?BUY0.91$5.00
11-01 00:10Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C or below on November 1?BUY0.7484521262$5.00
10-31 21:10Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 8°C on November 1?BUY0.8534794058$5.00
10-31 17:10Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on November 1?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
10-31 13:10Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on November 1?BUY0.78$2.35
10-31 11:10Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 31?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-31 08:10Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 31?BUY0.2475247525$5.00
10-31 08:10Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 31?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
10-31 08:10Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 31?BUY0.5$3.15
10-31 07:10Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 31?BUY0.2799999978$5.00
10-31 04:10Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 31?BUY0.22$4.40
10-31 02:10Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 31?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
10-31 01:10Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 31?BUY0.7199999424$5.00
10-30 22:10Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on October 31?BUY0.7623762301$5.00
10-30 19:10Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on October 31?BUY0.8399999933$5.00