0x1E4bFA44A185039f1DCAA51571D27AE388154fa6-1768854344102
0x1e4bfa44a185039f1dcaa51571d27ae388154fa6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $50.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$642.58at 0.244Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$350.59at 0.157Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
- +$214.52at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$145.49at 0.068Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$130.85at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 21°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 00:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C or below on November 1? | BUY | 0.7484521262 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 21:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 8°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.8534794058 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 17:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 13:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.35 |
| 10-31 11:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 08:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.2475247525 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 08:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 08:10 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.15 |
| 10-31 07:10 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 04:10 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-31 02:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 01:10 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 22:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.7623762301 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 19:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |