Connorqiao
0x1e49aca38f798a49e86187e618fbb13d834eb618
- Realised P&L
- $-203.06
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 533
- Open portfolio
- $55.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded533
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.33at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$9.50at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$9.49at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
- +$9.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$8.50at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 17:48 | Will SC Freiburg finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-30 13:20 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-30 12:20 | Will Mark Scheifele record 100+ points? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-30 02:42 | America.gov removed by October 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-30 02:42 | America.gov removed by October 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-30 01:48 | Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 09-29 13:21 | Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.47 |
| 09-29 13:21 | Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 11:54 | Will David Montgomery have 824.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-28 02:39 | Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.63 |
| 09-28 02:38 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.49 |
| 09-28 01:35 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 09-28 01:21 | Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 09-28 00:37 | Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-28 00:06 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.7 ft or more? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.26 |