PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1e499f764363ba4ba973b11c4a24b9577a7bcc2a

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
175
Open portfolio
$622.93

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded175
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Linera FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8260.750$198.97−$20.28
3Jane FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.6040.854$140.86+$41.30
Linera FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.8500.925$83.34+$6.76
Linera FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8750.960$56.78+$5.00
Linera FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.9000.963$52.70+$3.45
Linera FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9500.945$42.50−$0.23
Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6000.655$24.56+$2.06
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5280.375$23.23−$9.49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$1.0k
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$73.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$116.20
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$44.98
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? · No0.0420.000$0.00−$274.44
Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$148.94
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$488.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 14:54Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.1544724709$160.82
10-06 13:59Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4399999739$5.40
09-21 14:02Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6$22.49
09-21 12:503Jane FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.6036340487$99.56
09-16 10:22Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.0620652817$66.11
09-16 10:22Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.10375$8.30
09-16 10:19Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.099374117$149.82
09-16 10:14Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.15$20.63
09-14 11:41Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.64$320.00
09-11 12:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.22$311.92
09-11 12:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.41$4.10
09-11 11:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$92.82
09-11 11:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$39.00
09-11 11:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$78.00
09-11 11:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$195.00