pmic3
0x1e3f673cbd329df727d564e07e9f9dfcd40ae00b
- Realised P&L
- $23.7k
- Volume
- $13.27M
- Markets traded
- 839
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded839
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.260Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$3.7kat 0.328Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$3.1kat 0.791Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$2.5kat 0.739Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$2.5kat 0.140Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 13:00 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.1248306461 | $61.16 |
| 07-26 13:15 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.877 | $46.48 |
| 07-18 22:02 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.989 | $366.82 |
| 07-18 22:01 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.988 | $1.5k |
| 07-18 20:24 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.46 | $460.92 |
| 07-15 21:09 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2999866667 | $899.96 |
| 07-15 06:32 | Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 07-11 23:46 | Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-11 20:53 | Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.32 | $17.60 |
| 07-11 20:53 | Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.32 | $22.08 |
| 07-11 20:08 | Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.33 | $80.88 |
| 07-10 18:45 | Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.263 | $13.15 |
| 07-09 21:46 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.1k |
| 07-07 16:00 | Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 07-05 15:32 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.19 | $246.18 |