PolyBot

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Traders

pmic3

0x1e3f673cbd329df727d564e07e9f9dfcd40ae00b

Realised P&L
$23.7k
Volume
$13.27M
Markets traded
839
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded839
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5500.555$2.8k+$25.00
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2400.215$1.1k$125.00
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0800.085$425.00+$25.00
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7480.926$211.38+$40.72
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9950.997$28.15+$0.04
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · No0.7920.824$1.03+$0.04
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00$121.81
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$274.68
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$2.22
Will England win on 2026-07-18? · No0.5930.000$0.00$4.2k
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5270.000$0.00$896.80
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5940.000$0.00$1.2k
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.5880.000$0.00$1.7k
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3440.000$0.00$823.81
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00$46.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 13:00Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.1248306461$61.16
07-26 13:15Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.877$46.48
07-18 22:02Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.989$366.82
07-18 22:01Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.988$1.5k
07-18 20:24Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.46$460.92
07-15 21:09Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2999866667$899.96
07-15 06:32Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$3.0k
07-11 23:46Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$0.10
07-11 20:53Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.32$17.60
07-11 20:53Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.32$22.08
07-11 20:08Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.33$80.88
07-10 18:45Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.263$13.15
07-09 21:46Will France win on 2026-07-09?SELL0.98$1.1k
07-07 16:00Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.13$130.00
07-05 15:32Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.19$246.18