Jad85
0x1e3bbbcfe29a1417a24196e3adea3086ad19b1cc
- Realised P&L
- $-765.60
- Volume
- $46.9k
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $189.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.20at 0.653Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
- +$69.32at 0.590Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
- +$66.00at 0.830Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$65.45at 0.314Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?
- +$62.57at 0.870Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 07:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $170.00 |
| 09-24 07:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.79 |
| 09-24 07:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 07:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 07:50 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $1.32 |
| 07-24 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |