PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

throat-goat

0x1e34fd6aa3b46e4f4d6b97a1491b726291adb86f

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$1.12M
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$11.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1300.135$2.7k+$100.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9350.961$2.3k+$61.20
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6200.675$2.2k+$176.00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$1.9k+$10.50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8910.887$1.8k$7.00
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4300.475$57.00+$5.40
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.5100.145$43.50$109.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 01:45UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2799999916$20.00
07-03 22:54Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.0089999996$20.00
07-02 17:17Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.0428820723$20.00
06-24 17:08Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.6199999999$100.00
06-23 21:22Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.3699999926$30.00
06-23 18:16Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.839999999$100.00
06-23 18:15Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.1299999979$50.00
06-23 17:17GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.073445$38.93
06-22 23:18Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.94$400.00
06-22 17:51Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.8199999999$500.00
06-21 04:03Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.6599999946$110.00
06-19 16:08Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.5899999991$100.00
06-16 21:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.48$161.54
06-07 19:31GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.08$100.00
06-07 03:27GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.0699999974$25.00