PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fd53

0x1e34c4780e0d89edc25efa00c69725d945092151

Realised P&L
$-113.61
Volume
$100.5k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$11.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.001$9.25$157.27
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9971.000$2.22+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 11:20Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 14?BUY0.998$1.06
07-14 11:19Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 14?BUY0.988$1.01
07-14 11:18Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 14?BUY0.9981889219$1.01
07-14 11:18Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 14?BUY0.999$1.01
07-14 11:18Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 14?BUY0.9979990573$1.01
07-14 11:17Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?BUY0.998$1.01
07-14 11:16Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?BUY0.998$1.01
07-14 11:16Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?BUY0.999$1.01
05-02 12:32QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?BUY0.9909999971$1.03
05-02 12:31Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 2?BUY0.998999166$1.09
05-02 12:31Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?BUY0.9979994195$1.09
05-02 12:29Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.9969999995$2.21
05-02 12:23Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?BUY0.995$1.09
05-02 12:23Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on May 2?BUY0.999$1.09
03-03 05:50Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.999$1.22