0x1e347c202e6e470b7388bc36473046b4a7432bd8-1793052107398
0x1e347c202e6e470b7388bc36473046b4a7432bd8
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $23.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.962 | $1.3k | +$756.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.220Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$336.78at 0.318Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$-59.40at 0.298Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$-240.93at 0.065Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$-438.35at 0.448Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:03 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.60 |
| 10-29 12:49 | Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0115839592 | $11.65 |
| 10-29 10:22 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3827695521 | $500.00 |
| 10-29 10:19 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9682038114 | $4.4k |
| 10-28 22:20 | Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4290433481 | $200.00 |
| 10-28 18:55 | Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4636846942 | $250.00 |
| 10-28 18:52 | Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9544387152 | $505.14 |
| 10-28 18:25 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2979661649 | $60.00 |
| 10-28 12:02 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0129368269 | $60.37 |
| 10-27 19:27 | Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3181105338 | $168.36 |
| 10-27 19:14 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0489875062 | $125.00 |
| 10-27 19:13 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2037130692 | $500.00 |
| 10-26 22:43 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0833494956 | $176.30 |
| 10-26 22:43 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2390073546 | $500.00 |