NutCr4cker12
0x1e306b7c5abd83286e4269dc35fa7fff93ed90d3
- Realised P&L
- $0.11
- Volume
- $164.99
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14? · No | 0.880 | 0.016 | $1.60 | −$86.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$177.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.11at 0.978Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.15 |
| 10-14 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 10-14 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.14 |
| 10-14 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.85 |
| 10-14 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 10-14 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-12 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.88 |