PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Paukan

0x1e21dda86b9da29dd61d226f29dd970abf3c9e58

Realised P&L
$507.46
Volume
$59.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? · No0.7171.000$697.08+$197.08
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.2940.115$234.62$365.38
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes0.2200.080$181.82$318.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00$2.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 16:00Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.3266767501$200.00
05-09 17:39Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.01$5.00
04-22 18:36Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.280121283$400.00
04-12 05:42Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.7099999999$2.4k
02-28 07:15US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?SELL0.012$4.45
02-24 17:23US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.5399999996$200.12
01-22 15:08Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.2199999997$500.00
01-16 12:20Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY0.2801366677$500.00
01-08 19:15Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?BUY0.717274643$500.00
01-01 14:05Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?BUY0.4399198093$1000.00
11-22 21:12Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?BUY0.5733765811$798.40
09-13 20:43Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?BUY0.50690136$662.86
09-13 20:40Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?SELL0.4061082452$662.86
09-12 13:03Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?BUY0.4499999997$734.50
09-12 12:57Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?SELL0.1494090673$379.91