PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Arr00

0x1e1a46ae7ada914774c80f82e68b6d6981a6a8dc

Realised P&L
$-419.51
Volume
$10.4k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$179.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0120.021$179.17+$79.17
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · No0.5660.000$0.00$50.00
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$10.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.2980.000$0.00$100.00
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yes0.5370.000$0.00$381.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 00:29Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0119999999$100.00
07-07 00:34United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7099999815$10.00
07-07 00:30United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.699999993$10.00
06-10 21:50Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.5499999956$50.00
03-03 19:14Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.999$53.54
02-28 21:05Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.9329999998$50.00
11-16 18:42Will OpenZeppelin win 2025 Uniswap Cup?SELL0.001$0.23
11-16 00:52Will OpenZeppelin win 2025 Uniswap Cup?BUY0.0439999958$10.00
07-07 16:44Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY0.0389999963$10.00
06-29 03:01Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.2983526325$100.00
06-24 23:39Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?BUY0.565999999$50.00
06-24 23:21Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?BUY0.549999999$85.00
06-24 21:22Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?BUY0.5099999984$150.00
06-23 20:05Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?BUY0.5599999986$146.73