Arr00
0x1e1a46ae7ada914774c80f82e68b6d6981a6a8dc
- Realised P&L
- $-419.51
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $179.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.021 | $179.17 | +$79.17 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · No | 0.566 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No | 0.298 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yes | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$381.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.23at 0.557Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$8.19at 0.711United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$3.54at 0.933Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-9.77at 0.044Will OpenZeppelin win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 00:29 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 00:34 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 00:30 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 21:50 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 19:14 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $53.54 |
| 02-28 21:05 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9329999998 | $50.00 |
| 11-16 18:42 | Will OpenZeppelin win 2025 Uniswap Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 11-16 00:52 | Will OpenZeppelin win 2025 Uniswap Cup? | BUY | 0.0439999958 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:44 | Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | BUY | 0.0389999963 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 03:01 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2983526325 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 23:39 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.565999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 23:21 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.549999999 | $85.00 |
| 06-24 21:22 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $150.00 |
| 06-23 20:05 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.5599999986 | $146.73 |