PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

piszcze

0x1e196d4a7c9d42bd17616e0ca6d973a956e5c962

Realised P&L
$39.25
Volume
$30.2k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$143.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.5000.895$99.34+$43.84
Will Solana reach $190 in September? · No0.9880.990$19.78+$0.03
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD? · No0.9910.994$12.92+$0.04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.5000.105$11.65$43.84
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? · No0.7200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$1.76
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$1.00
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? · No0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 00:38Will Solana reach $190 in September?BUY0.988$19.75
09-04 00:38Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD?BUY0.991$12.88
08-13 01:58Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.977$16.61
07-22 01:01Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.84$21.00
07-06 00:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$49.75
07-06 00:42Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.99$11.99
06-26 01:30Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0579999464$1.00
06-26 01:30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
06-26 01:29Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.78$1.00
06-26 01:28Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.84$2.00
06-26 01:28Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.84$2.00
06-26 01:28Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY0.64$1.00
06-26 01:28Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?BUY0.719999856$1.00
06-26 01:28Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
06-08 03:44Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?BUY0.9879999993$6.00