piszcze
0x1e196d4a7c9d42bd17616e0ca6d973a956e5c962
- Realised P&L
- $39.25
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $143.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.500 | 0.895 | $99.34 | +$43.84 |
| Will Solana reach $190 in September? · No | 0.988 | 0.990 | $19.78 | +$0.03 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD? · No | 0.991 | 0.994 | $12.92 | +$0.04 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.500 | 0.105 | $11.65 | −$43.84 |
| Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.76 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.50at 0.500Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$32.50at 0.175Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$10.77at 0.980US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
- +$8.91at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$7.97at 0.943Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 00:38 | Will Solana reach $190 in September? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.75 |
| 09-04 00:38 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD? | BUY | 0.991 | $12.88 |
| 08-13 01:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.977 | $16.61 |
| 07-22 01:01 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.00 |
| 07-06 00:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 07-06 00:42 | Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.99 |
| 06-26 01:30 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999464 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 01:30 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999504 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 01:29 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 01:28 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 01:28 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 01:28 | Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 01:28 | Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 01:28 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 03:44 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9879999993 | $6.00 |