PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MoriSan

0x1e1887db81986e95c0986a3181b6b18e0680581c

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$466.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0120.004$1.7k$3.0k
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$55.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 14:18Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.005$111.13
07-20 02:15Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0059999995$12.74
07-14 22:08Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999781$7.12
06-12 03:24Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.5299999794$6.17
06-12 03:17Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL0.0833828383$6.57
06-12 00:37Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.5299999978$49.09
06-08 07:06Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6899999966$26.11
06-08 06:49Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.689999979$7.87
06-08 03:15Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.3699999957$29.15
01-14 16:36Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0090243633$285.40
01-08 00:44Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.013$133.71
01-05 01:14Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.013$529.80
12-24 10:29Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0127237076$726.55
11-02 10:11Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.022$45.68
10-21 15:30Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.023$186.79