hugj
0x1e0e32fd7e45b018d2622c12b8f21f5be93fc012
- Realised P&L
- $34.30
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,796
- Open portfolio
- $5.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,796
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 20? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.01 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Up | 0.897 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 20? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Down | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9? · No | 0.993 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.51at 0.506Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$4.73at 0.509Solana Up or Down - April 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$3.80at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
- +$3.50at 0.859Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$3.16at 0.336Solana Up or Down - April 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-16 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-14 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-14 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-14 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-11 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-10 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-09 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-09 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-09 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-08 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-08 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-07 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-07 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |