878jk
0x1e06788f17c92eb219482f01818b85e680134901
- Realised P&L
- $179.54
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $55.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $55.92 | −$0.03 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.987 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.76at 0.663Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$48.32at 0.585Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$42.67at 0.490Wild vs. Red Wings
- +$31.00at 0.690RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
- +$11.70at 0.820Will 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 13:47 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.94 |
| 09-21 14:19 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 09-14 11:09 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | BUY | 0.994 | $17.89 |
| 09-14 11:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $75.47 |
| 08-14 11:09 | Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-14 11:08 | Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $125.87 |
| 07-22 14:57 | Will Solana reach $140 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $309.69 |
| 07-02 08:45 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $138.73 |
| 07-02 08:42 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.9649999999 | $200.00 |
| 06-21 07:30 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 06-04 08:24 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 06-04 08:23 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $303.00 |
| 05-29 08:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 05-18 08:31 | Will BNB reach $1,100 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 05-09 10:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9819999293 | $3.00 |