PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1e030260e3359CD99E1eB1D3e810e42e0d2bcC76-1777431214202

0x1e030260e3359cd99e1eb1d3e810e42e0d2bcc76

Realised P&L
$-73.06
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$61.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15? · Yes0.8400.983$31.44+$4.56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16? · Yes0.7800.795$18.29+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16? · Yes0.2800.370$6.66+$1.62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16? · Yes0.5200.490$4.90−$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.5490.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.0910.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Germany (-3.5) · Curaçao0.5100.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00−$3.80
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches? · Yes0.3430.000$0.00−$5.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 06:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?SELL0.45$4.50
10-15 06:19Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?BUY0.78$17.94
10-15 05:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?SELL0.52$6.24
10-15 04:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?BUY0.52$4.20
10-15 04:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?BUY0.28$2.80
10-15 04:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?BUY0.53$3.71
10-15 00:37Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15?SELL0.001$0.02
10-14 16:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?BUY0.84$5.25
10-14 08:20Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15?BUY0.2099999895$3.00
10-14 08:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
10-12 08:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?BUY0.4516058196$2.69
07-07 03:31Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.1815461217$10.00
06-28 16:25Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.04$4.00
06-15 03:28Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1$10.00
06-14 11:20Spread: Germany (-3.5)BUY0.5099999988$25.00