0x1e030260e3359CD99E1eB1D3e810e42e0d2bcC76-1777431214202
0x1e030260e3359cd99e1eb1d3e810e42e0d2bcc76
- Realised P&L
- $-73.06
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $61.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.63at 0.380Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$12.13at 0.296Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$9.27at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$8.70at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$5.67at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 10-15 06:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.78 | $17.94 |
| 10-15 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.52 | $6.24 |
| 10-15 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.52 | $4.20 |
| 10-15 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-15 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.71 |
| 10-15 00:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-14 16:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.25 |
| 10-14 08:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 08:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4516058196 | $2.69 |
| 07-07 03:31 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1815461217 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 16:25 | Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 06-15 03:28 | Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 11:20 | Spread: Germany (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |