pedroBala
0x1df231bd33dae91463e1682927e8096b82c289a0
- Realised P&L
- $373.0k
- Volume
- $23.77M
- Markets traded
- 7,426
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded7,426
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State vs. South Carolina · Mississippi State | 0.276 | 0.971 | $155.91 | +$111.65 |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss · Ole Miss | 0.469 | 0.675 | $137.75 | +$41.94 |
| Sacred Heart vs. Elon · Sacred Heart | 0.246 | 0.310 | $65.92 | +$13.57 |
| Florida State vs. Alabama · Alabama | 0.437 | 0.956 | $57.33 | +$31.13 |
| Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee · Middle Tennessee | 0.288 | 0.380 | $45.46 | +$11.04 |
| East Carolina vs. Old Dominion · East Carolina | 0.400 | 0.360 | $41.37 | −$4.55 |
| Florida vs. Auburn · Florida | 0.527 | 0.625 | $37.50 | +$5.90 |
| Georgia State vs. UCF · Georgia State | 0.148 | 0.310 | $34.59 | +$18.10 |
| San Diego vs. Cal Poly · San Diego | 0.265 | 0.280 | $29.96 | +$1.60 |
| Florida vs. Auburn · Auburn | 0.351 | 0.375 | $29.22 | +$1.89 |
| Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic · Florida International | 0.212 | 0.165 | $29.18 | −$8.28 |
| Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee · Nevada | 0.555 | 0.620 | $24.80 | +$2.60 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State · Georgia Southern | 0.387 | 0.795 | $23.60 | +$12.12 |
| New Mexico vs. Oklahoma · New Mexico | 0.081 | 0.075 | $22.86 | −$1.92 |
| Dayton vs. Eastern Kentucky · Dayton | 0.237 | 0.825 | $22.44 | +$15.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.9kat 0.526Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$66.5kat 0.408Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$55.4kat 0.278Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$53.4kat 0.257Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$38.0kat 0.325Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 02:24 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.929999998 | $9.40 |
| 09-03 02:24 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.0804468847 | $1.60 |
| 09-03 02:23 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.0899999621 | $1.97 |
| 09-03 02:22 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.8899999941 | $9.00 |
| 09-03 02:21 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.2099999341 | $2.20 |
| 09-03 00:29 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.6999999903 | $7.20 |
| 09-03 00:29 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.6999999901 | $7.08 |
| 09-03 00:29 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.6299999776 | $6.19 |
| 09-03 00:29 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.6 | $6.09 |
| 09-03 00:25 | Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.839999996 | $8.31 |
| 09-03 00:23 | Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.8699999941 | $8.80 |
| 09-03 00:21 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4899999651 | $4.92 |
| 09-03 00:21 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4899999696 | $3.71 |
| 09-03 00:10 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.56 | $4.16 |
| 09-02 23:24 | New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.1099999276 | $1.20 |