0x1dEd64483a8c5ff5067131C7456ad4836E96A8C5-1775638504944
0x1ded64483a8c5ff5067131c7456ad4836e96a8c5
- Realised P&L
- $-3.08
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $6.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.180 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.005 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.035 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.630 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.005 | $0.30 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.006 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.005 | $0.10 | −$0.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.24at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 9?
- +$2.96at 0.253Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 10?
- +$2.44at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 9?
- +$1.84at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 9?
- +$1.49at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0232004065 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0030044105 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0340396562 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 17:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $1.50 |
| 09-20 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.05 |
| 09-20 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $1.50 |
| 09-20 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |