PolyBot

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Traders

Orbitorious

0x1dec8ce1d61126514c3c5382711cb74d35c612f4

Realised P&L
$-246.86
Volume
$22.5k
Markets traded
289
Open portfolio
$135.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded289
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 14:15Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 23?BUY0.09$2.49
09-22 09:16Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.56$67.20
09-22 09:02Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 23?BUY0.1145584726$12.00
09-22 08:49Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 23?BUY0.08$0.40
09-22 08:37Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.6899999894$13.00
09-22 08:37Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.6857142808$32.00
09-22 08:36Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.67$7.38
09-21 16:29Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.05$7.50
09-21 11:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.19$6.90
09-21 08:02Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.11$6.75
09-21 03:01Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?SELL0.045911$4.59
09-20 22:41Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.151818016$8.33
09-20 08:31Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.7979999997$85.86
09-20 08:31Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?SELL0.152876952$47.19
09-20 05:18Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 20?BUY0.154726907$5.00