Orbitorious
0x1dec8ce1d61126514c3c5382711cb74d35c612f4
- Realised P&L
- $-246.86
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 289
- Open portfolio
- $135.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded289
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.18at 0.368Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 8?
- +$71.07at 0.179Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 31?
- +$70.47at 0.486Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 13?
- +$69.45at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 3?
- +$63.33at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.49 |
| 09-22 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.56 | $67.20 |
| 09-22 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1145584726 | $12.00 |
| 09-22 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-22 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6899999894 | $13.00 |
| 09-22 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6857142808 | $32.00 |
| 09-22 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.67 | $7.38 |
| 09-21 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.50 |
| 09-21 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.90 |
| 09-21 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.75 |
| 09-21 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.045911 | $4.59 |
| 09-20 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.151818016 | $8.33 |
| 09-20 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7979999997 | $85.86 |
| 09-20 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.152876952 | $47.19 |
| 09-20 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.154726907 | $5.00 |