Orbitorious
0x1dec8ce1d61126514c3c5382711cb74d35c612f4
- Realised P&L
- $-69.85
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $21.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.06at 0.473Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6?
- +$11.43at 0.294Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?
- +$6.62at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6?
- +$4.80at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$4.80at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2510822336 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.231038526 | $5.52 |
| 08-07 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.0214953271 | $1.15 |
| 08-07 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.1814124442 | $6.91 |
| 08-07 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.77 |
| 08-07 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.33 |
| 08-07 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3520858723 | $9.00 |
| 08-07 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0373803828 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2099999798 | $8.00 |
| 08-07 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3444881608 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0362669246 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 08-06 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $41.62 |
| 08-06 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2399999794 | $7.00 |