PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

Orbitorious

0x1dec8ce1d61126514c3c5382711cb74d35c612f4

Realised P&L
$-69.85
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$21.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 01:33Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 7?BUY0.2510822336$10.00
08-07 01:29Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7?SELL0.231038526$5.52
08-07 01:24Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 8?SELL0.0214953271$1.15
08-07 01:24Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?SELL0.1814124442$6.91
08-07 01:18Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 7?SELL0.05$3.77
08-07 01:18Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?SELL0.08$2.33
08-07 01:06Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7?BUY0.32$3.00
08-07 01:06Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7?BUY0.3520858723$9.00
08-07 01:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 8?BUY0.0373803828$2.00
08-07 01:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?BUY0.2099999798$8.00
08-07 01:01Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7?BUY0.3444881608$5.00
08-06 19:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 7?BUY0.0362669246$1.50
08-06 19:03Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7?BUY0.32$4.00
08-06 10:10Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6?SELL0.999$41.62
08-06 07:28Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?BUY0.2399999794$7.00