0x1de8ad2700bB6B5Eb977c191C0028Bb4E595B7e7-1768915472679
0x1de8ad2700bb6b5eb977c191c0028bb4e595b7e7
- Realised P&L
- $182.01
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $30.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $1.10 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.006 | $30.21 | −$627.59 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 on September 15? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 15? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.268 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.36 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Down | 0.394 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.26 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 on September 16? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$87.30 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on September 15? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.075Will XRP dip to $1.30 on September 15?
- +$-97.41at 0.117Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 14:08 | Will XRP dip to $1.10 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1415428123 | $657.80 |
| 09-16 11:31 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 on September 16? | BUY | 0.1283823529 | $87.30 |
| 09-15 19:30 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0912436742 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 19:07 | Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 15? | BUY | 0.1637335708 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 18:02 | Will XRP reach $1.60 on September 15? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.47 |
| 09-15 17:57 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0707729155 | $93.13 |
| 01-31 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $19.65 |
| 01-30 17:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | SELL | 0.099967032 | $582.58 |
| 01-23 13:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 01-20 15:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BUY | 0.1317137705 | $180.00 |
| 01-20 15:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BUY | 0.1120780849 | $500.00 |