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Traders

MMatt

0x1ddddfdefa2d0a2e9d9d801eefe4698ea47f372d

Realised P&L
$-7.3k
Volume
$925.3k
Markets traded
242
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded242
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.933$452.97+$33.39
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9300.948$199.08+$3.78
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.8400.740$177.60−$24.00
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6300.725$145.00+$19.00
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.855$138.21+$12.12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8500.969$121.06+$14.81
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.7570.955$105.04+$21.73
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.9180.940$50.55+$1.16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.285$34.20−$16.20
Will Ethereal launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.6100.465$27.90−$8.70
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.5800.000$0.00−$47.46
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) · Spurs0.2800.000$0.00−$5.14
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6700.000$0.00−$33.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 00:42Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.2749746375$219.98
10-08 14:29Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?BUY0.9900298923$1.76
10-05 15:27Will Ethos launch a token by October 15, 2026?BUY0.998$119.45
10-03 18:53Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.971$19.42
10-03 18:53Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9683134328$64.88
10-01 12:23Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?BUY0.907$19.05
10-01 12:23Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.93$195.30
09-30 14:15Will Ethos launch a token by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9877360606$67.85
09-30 14:14Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$111.80
09-29 12:55Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9872118551$8.99
09-25 13:25Will Ethos launch a token by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9481125347$133.20
09-24 13:19Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.101$5.05
09-24 13:17Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?BUY0.9372156863$47.80
09-23 13:36Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$135.85
09-19 00:08Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.42$50.40
Trader MMatt · PolyBot Pro