PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MMatt

0x1ddddfdefa2d0a2e9d9d801eefe4698ea47f372d

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$927.5k
Markets traded
234
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded234
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethos launch a token by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.9000.895$366.82$2.05
Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026? · Yes0.7910.790$339.68$0.30
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6300.750$150.00+$24.00
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.8400.555$133.20$68.40
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8500.953$119.06+$12.81
Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9250.885$108.77$4.89
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4100.355$85.20$13.20
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.320$80.00$89.93
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.125$22.50$4.50
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1830.196$9.78+$0.63
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.5800.000$0.00$47.46
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) · Spurs0.2800.000$0.00$5.14
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6700.000$0.00$33.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 14:01Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.86$34.31
09-09 12:28LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.17$85.00
09-08 10:02Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.85$106.25
09-08 10:00Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?SELL0.8975606781$73.59
09-06 23:50Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?BUY0.893442623$54.50
09-04 14:42Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?BUY0.9065404971$1.00
09-04 14:41Will Ethos launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9559807229$79.35
09-04 14:41Will Ethos launch a token by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9$368.87
09-04 14:39Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?BUY0.7764909083$349.31
08-28 16:19Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6795612173$96.02
08-28 16:17Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.63$126.00
06-08 14:47Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.47$37.60
06-08 14:47Spread: Spurs (-7.5)BUY0.28$5.14
06-04 21:32Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.67$33.50
05-29 16:13Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.58$47.46