accrete
0x1dd9512d866d1697d028be8e5836116096d921cc
- Realised P&L
- $45.59
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $578.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.45at 0.925Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.51at 0.993Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
- +$2.43at 0.997Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
- +$2.30at 0.900Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$1.71at 0.932Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 16:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.945 | $4.07 |
| 04-06 16:37 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.925 | $2.94 |
| 04-06 16:36 | Anthropic CEO arrested? | SELL | 0.971 | $1.46 |
| 03-29 20:56 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.962 | $4.46 |
| 03-29 20:44 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.31 |
| 03-29 20:43 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.942 | $1.90 |
| 03-29 20:43 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.932 | $1.06 |
| 03-28 22:17 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.966 | $1.89 |
| 03-22 23:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $53.20 |
| 03-15 21:51 | Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 03-09 23:25 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.43 |