PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Chepaik

0x1dd18c4390021aa295f4a219885294e986816b09

Realised P&L
$588.04
Volume
$270.6k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$15.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No0.9950.996$11.7k+$15.21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14? · No0.9990.999$2.0k−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 13? · No0.9991.000$999.50+$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 15? · No0.9980.999$549.17+$0.28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 13? · No0.9991.000$439.78+$0.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.7190.000$0.00−$358.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 17:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 15?BUY0.998$4.99
10-13 17:42Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 13?BUY0.999$999.00
10-13 17:42Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 13?BUY0.999$439.56
10-13 11:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?BUY0.999$1.3k
10-13 07:36Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.995$9.9k
10-11 18:15Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,100 on October 12?BUY0.999$30.70
10-11 18:14Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on October 12?BUY0.999$30.99
10-11 18:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 13?BUY0.996$34.86
10-11 18:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 13?BUY0.998$114.31
10-11 18:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?BUY0.998$4.99
10-08 16:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.998$5.99
10-08 14:10Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.995$5.0k
10-08 14:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.998$401.62
10-08 14:08Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.998$5.0k
10-08 14:06Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.999$5.0k