Chepaik
0x1dd18c4390021aa295f4a219885294e986816b09
- Realised P&L
- $588.04
- Volume
- $270.6k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $15.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.996 | $11.7k | +$15.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $2.0k | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 13? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 15? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $549.17 | +$0.28 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 13? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $439.78 | +$0.22 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.719 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$358.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$419.50at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$56.53at 0.942Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?
- +$37.77at 0.975Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
- +$27.57at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$26.24at 0.992Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-13 17:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 10-13 17:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $439.56 |
| 10-13 11:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 10-13 07:36 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.9k |
| 10-11 18:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,100 on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.70 |
| 10-11 18:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.99 |
| 10-11 18:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.996 | $34.86 |
| 10-11 18:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $114.31 |
| 10-11 18:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-08 16:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 10-08 14:10 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.0k |
| 10-08 14:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $401.62 |
| 10-08 14:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 10-08 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |