PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1dcc1647b2669bb518bde74535fbb1813ea3cf6e

Realised P&L
$5.08
Volume
$472.05
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$70.71

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 18? · No0.9401.000$6.31+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 18? · No0.9401.000$6.31+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18? · No0.9501.000$6.31+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 19? · No0.9500.950$5.99+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 18? · No0.9400.945$5.96+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 19? · No0.9500.945$5.96$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 18? · No0.9500.945$5.96$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 19? · No0.9500.940$5.93$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 19? · No0.9400.935$5.90$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19? · No0.9200.925$5.84+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 19? · No0.9400.835$5.27$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 18? · No0.9500.994$4.97+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 6? · No0.9200.000$0.00$4.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? · No0.9500.000$0.00$5.99
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 13? · No0.9500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 05:14Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 19?BUY0.95$5.99
09-18 02:34Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.95$5.99
09-18 00:46Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.94$5.93
09-17 17:32Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.95$4.75
09-17 16:27Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.94$5.93
09-17 15:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.92$5.81
09-17 08:22Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.94$5.93
09-17 04:29Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.94$5.93
09-16 17:31Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.94$5.93
09-15 08:42Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.95$5.99
09-15 08:41Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.95$5.99
09-15 06:29Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 16?BUY0.95$4.75
09-15 00:36Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.95$5.99
09-15 00:36Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 16?BUY0.93$5.87
09-14 22:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.95$5.99