smallbetsbigbets
0x1db56c3e884999e3bdebed40a036467f159e1f5b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.15
- Volume
- $153.46
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $59.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.545 | 0.510 | $28.10 | −$1.90 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.935 | $20.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.110 | $6.88 | −$3.13 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.295 | $4.25 | +$1.08 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 13:35 | Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2199999986 | $3.17 |
| 09-08 13:34 | Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 13:30 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.9299999716 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 13:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5449999956 | $30.00 |