Cait37
0x1da93a66e56ff7e2a7e23e86a8ab00372f3e3710
- Realised P&L
- $16.3k
- Volume
- $233.9k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $17.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.468Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.5kat 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.4kat 0.694Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$1.1kat 0.584Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$854.60at 0.562Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 10:25 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9627224646 | $333.00 |
| 10-19 22:40 | Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.8222063469 | $338.37 |
| 10-16 17:30 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999993 | $40.16 |
| 10-16 17:29 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 10-15 09:05 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | BUY | 0.9759017548 | $596.00 |
| 10-10 20:27 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | BUY | 0.9699999947 | $113.00 |
| 10-09 05:19 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | SELL | 0.46815375 | $187.26 |
| 10-08 14:16 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | SELL | 0.4901946032 | $61.76 |
| 10-08 14:15 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | SELL | 0.564434 | $282.22 |
| 09-29 17:48 | Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9719433569 | $400.00 |
| 09-29 13:53 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? | BUY | 0.8284439126 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 22:07 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | BUY | 0.9500325179 | $2.2k |
| 09-28 14:58 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9669999988 | $419.00 |
| 09-28 14:57 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $760.00 |
| 09-27 22:14 | Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9829678269 | $300.00 |