0x1da868a87faff28b8abb1d4d36f4da6b9c737ed7
- Realised P&L
- $-333.94
- Volume
- $69.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,526
- Open portfolio
- $75.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,526
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.690 | 0.760 | $47.47 | +$4.37 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.567 | 0.780 | $27.26 | +$7.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.00at 0.400Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 24?
- +$59.09at 0.631Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 28?
- +$46.29at 0.103Solana Up or Down - October 13, 7PM ET
- +$45.36at 0.723NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 21?
- +$45.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 5PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 08-05 00:52 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 08-05 00:52 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 08-05 00:52 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-04 16:04 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 16:04 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 08-04 11:15 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 05:46 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 05:35 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.38 |
| 07-31 04:45 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 07-31 01:00 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.25 |
| 07-30 14:18 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.68 |
| 07-30 10:42 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $8.88 |
| 07-30 10:40 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $60.18 |
| 07-30 08:00 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.07 |