bigger77
0x1da8011f9f6481c9564bdb392609821da4f76fca
- Realised P&L
- $-25.28
- Volume
- $52.1k
- Markets traded
- 301
- Open portfolio
- $9.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded301
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) · Uruguay | 0.860 | 0.840 | $7.81 | −$0.19 |
| Spread: Uruguay (-2.5) · Uruguay | 0.700 | 0.670 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No | 0.685 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No | 0.702 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.262 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.50at 0.550Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
- +$8.21at 0.922Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$6.87at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$6.33at 0.762Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
- +$6.31at 0.327Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:04 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 14:04 | Will Georgia win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 14:04 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 14:03 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 14:03 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 14:03 | Spread: Italy (-2.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 14:02 | Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8799999765 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 14:01 | Spread: Uruguay (-2.5) | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 14:00 | Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $8.00 |
| 07-19 14:33 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6949999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 14:32 | Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6599999856 | $11.00 |
| 07-16 13:59 | France vs. England: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 13:58 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 13:58 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.7599999666 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 14:03 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3349999587 | $3.00 |