Oscarn
0x1da2ee4daff2d485db8255bb34fcd44b2947407e
- Realised P&L
- $-38.84
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $73.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No | 0.838 | 0.824 | $65.81 | −$1.19 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $7.08 | −$2.92 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.040 | $0.74 | −$4.26 |
| FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.073Will FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
- +$0.01at 0.030Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?
- +$-19.89at 0.913Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.74 | $81.32 |
| 09-13 20:04 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 19:18 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 20:00 | Will FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.12 | $17.14 |
| 09-10 20:00 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? | SELL | 0.032 | $11.03 |
| 09-10 12:37 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.8384124967 | $67.00 |
| 09-10 12:36 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 12:24 | FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 12:23 | Will FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 12:22 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $10.00 |