PolyBot

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Traders

claudelover

0x1d9af51a80eb87f5648fe32bf58c036628ba9a46

Realised P&L
$540.71
Volume
$367.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$6.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.025$3.3k+$419.16
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.018$1.6k+$763.31
Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027? · No0.9150.910$519.78−$3.15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5470.305$457.49−$363.74
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? · Yes0.9950.980$243.02−$3.62
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes0.7600.018$4.05−$172.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$140.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 01:12Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.89$53.40
10-26 00:22Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.92$36.80
10-26 00:22Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.92$36.80
10-26 00:18Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.93$37.20
10-26 00:02Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.89$89.17
10-25 23:51Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.93$184.14
10-25 23:51Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.92$46.00
10-25 23:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.983$44.23
10-25 23:49Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.9167813953$39.42
10-25 23:42Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?BUY0.9946048875$246.64
05-29 16:28Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.91$182.00
05-10 18:44Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?BUY0.76$176.05
04-10 23:31Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?BUY0.001$86.49
04-10 23:30Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.71$1.4k
04-10 23:28Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?SELL0.999$1.5k