PolyBot

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Traders

REAL.BADMAN

0x1d9a2c92bf630cc92b1b20a950008e84aa56db3f

Realised P&L
$-20.8k
Volume
$761.6k
Markets traded
331
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded331
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0801.000$500.00+$460.00
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · No0.8211.000$320.22+$57.25
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · No0.8891.000$220.47+$24.45
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0590.019$81.70$165.50
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · No0.9361.000$74.82+$4.82
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · Yes0.6800.500$50.00$18.00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.6220.065$27.26$233.48
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9600.977$24.08+$0.41
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Kings vs. Panthers · Kings0.4300.000$0.00$4.30
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guo · Guo0.7700.000$0.00$615.80
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$12.50
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? · Yes0.7690.000$0.00$72.16
Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$14.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$460.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-15 03:07Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?BUY0.9879999989$200.00
02-15 03:06Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?BUY0.982$200.00
02-14 10:55Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?SELL0.991$711.76
02-13 20:20Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.975$487.50
02-13 20:19Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?BUY0.92$39.10
02-13 17:36Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.975$100.00
02-13 17:34Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.95$20.00
02-13 16:02Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?BUY0.6588984514$50.00
02-13 16:01Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.9036071112$50.00
02-13 16:01Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.9299999993$50.00
02-13 16:00Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.902849228$50.00
02-13 15:59Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.84$168.00
02-13 12:11Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.2$20.00
02-13 12:09Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.059$205.91
02-13 12:09Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.059$29.50