zxczczxc
0x1d9924d1e39ab9281e1f9c7d433646221f8687cb
- Realised P&L
- $-50.65
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $292.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.897 | 0.990 | $141.65 | +$13.24 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes | 0.895 | 0.935 | $125.80 | +$5.36 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.919 | 0.948 | $23.69 | +$0.71 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.011 | $1.27 | −$2.84 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? · No | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.81at 0.710Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
- +$13.02at 0.866Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$5.29at 0.820Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.66at 0.320Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$4.02at 0.350Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 18:09 | Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999989 | $23.26 |
| 09-04 18:08 | Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8725490047 | $5.15 |
| 09-04 11:54 | Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 08:32 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.072281 | $7.23 |
| 09-04 08:31 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-01 06:44 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $118.01 |
| 09-01 06:43 | Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $92.53 |
| 08-25 18:59 | Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.08 | $0.71 |
| 08-25 18:58 | Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3799999412 | $3.36 |
| 08-22 19:11 | Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9824969779 | $91.00 |
| 08-18 21:22 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $20.89 |
| 08-18 07:53 | Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-18 06:33 | Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | SELL | 0.0010450045 | $0.02 |
| 08-18 06:33 | Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.70 |
| 08-17 21:22 | Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | BUY | 0.8699999859 | $50.00 |