MakacoLoko
0x1d92d219f2cb3515cbb58c26544709e3b84831b8
- Realised P&L
- $-63.50
- Volume
- $749.40
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $90.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.825 | $44.84 | +$19.84 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes | 0.536 | 0.503 | $31.44 | −$2.08 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.589 | 0.150 | $6.39 | −$18.61 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · Yes | 0.746 | 0.120 | $4.83 | −$25.17 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $3.25 | −$1.75 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.639 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.85at 0.689Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$-12.77at 0.289Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
- +$-38.33at 0.618Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 14:39 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 14:38 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.7179999795 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 14:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.812 | $22.22 |
| 10-14 14:53 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.5049999795 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 00:07 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | SELL | 0.1529820353 | $13.71 |
| 10-09 14:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8659999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 15:45 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 15:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 15:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.16 | $13.20 |
| 10-01 23:59 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.72 | $26.47 |
| 09-25 15:09 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.469999991 | $13.52 |
| 09-25 15:04 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.2789333584 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 14:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 15:17 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999923 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 15:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999892 | $25.00 |