PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1d85f7f6352eaa2e633f6f1d665cce565ba09ed0

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$704.44

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5460.755$110.65+$30.65
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6210.815$105.04+$25.04
Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7100.955$67.25+$17.25
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5850.855$59.00+$18.62
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7600.815$42.89+$2.89
Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7500.835$33.40+$3.40
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7700.770$33.00+$0.00
Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6400.700$32.81+$2.81
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4600.485$31.63+$1.63
Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3400.500$29.41+$9.41
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1900.175$27.63−$2.37
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5600.710$25.36+$5.36
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4100.495$24.15+$4.15
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1960.595$23.73+$15.93
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2000.430$21.50+$11.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 23:45Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7599999992$40.00
10-23 23:47Will Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.14$15.15
10-23 23:47Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1028297281$10.00
10-23 23:44Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.13$48.98
10-17 19:12Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7699999974$33.00
10-17 02:33Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.1726540687$65.05
10-16 19:39Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.27$30.65
10-15 21:54Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2199999998$20.00
10-15 16:38Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3075061198$10.00
10-15 16:35Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1899999998$30.00
10-15 16:34Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.4010715512$56.05
10-15 16:34Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3399999966$20.00
10-15 16:34Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4099999984$20.00
10-15 16:26Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.64$30.00
10-15 16:23Will Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.092422296$10.00