PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1D81a7927a5F45d7E373D4c7be5A6750fAf30961-1770936098475

0x1d81a7927a5f45d7e373d4c7be5a6750faf30961

Realised P&L
$127.32
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
394
Open portfolio
$6.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded394
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No0.4200.570$6.78+$1.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 05:56Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?SELL0.989$9.05
07-14 13:40Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?SELL0.999$13.87
06-04 16:38Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4?SELL0.999$9.90
06-04 06:50Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?SELL0.993$10.03
06-03 08:27Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?SELL0.932$11.79
06-02 17:31Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?SELL0.999$9.34
06-02 17:31Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?SELL0.999$12.64
06-02 08:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?SELL0.999$12.02
05-27 21:04Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27?SELL0.999$9.54
05-24 11:04Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?SELL0.991$9.09
04-20 02:24Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?SELL0.994$9.55
04-07 21:14Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.01$0.34
04-07 13:12Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?SELL0.901$12.51
04-05 19:52Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?SELL0.93$12.23
04-01 13:03Valorant: Insomnia vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2SELL0.99$13.94