0x1D80fe1DD9B27CA414F341943f99E96A6CA48A55-1772036094801
0x1d80fe1dd9b27ca414f341943f99e96a6ca48a55
- Realised P&L
- $-9.48
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $4.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.996 | $2.53 | −$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.995 | $2.07 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.44at 0.470Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?
- +$2.11at 0.690UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$1.99at 0.680Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.54at 0.709Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
- +$1.37at 0.780Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 22:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.07 |
| 10-15 22:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $2.53 |
| 09-03 16:30 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.9679999958 | $1.85 |
| 09-03 16:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.2809999397 | $2.78 |
| 08-29 01:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August? | BUY | 0.9859999952 | $1.65 |
| 08-29 01:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August? | BUY | 0.9699999958 | $2.32 |
| 08-21 14:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9819999972 | $2.12 |
| 08-14 17:38 | Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.9889999968 | $1.23 |
| 08-06 05:55 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.9649996114 | $1.49 |
| 07-30 11:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.9969999995 | $2.18 |
| 07-23 05:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.9979998692 | $2.90 |
| 07-23 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.04 |
| 07-14 21:01 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.25 |
| 07-10 22:15 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.964999989 | $2.64 |
| 07-01 14:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.9869999986 | $2.79 |