leftisright
0x1d75500d153e8a00f645a2d943bda54b53b578b9
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $351.5k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$574.78at 0.462Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$386.97at 0.583Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$341.09at 0.387Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$314.44at 0.378Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$313.12at 0.728Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:43 | Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5787857633 | $286.00 |
| 10-26 06:42 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6923224448 | $230.00 |
| 10-25 10:03 | Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.64 | $517.43 |
| 10-24 08:11 | Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5872856539 | $238.00 |
| 10-23 15:29 | Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5988523163 | $150.00 |
| 10-22 20:58 | Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6707969491 | $200.00 |
| 10-20 07:07 | Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.1k |
| 10-19 17:31 | Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5899999996 | $477.01 |
| 10-18 14:32 | Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.9189760526 | $349.21 |
| 10-17 11:43 | Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.301712122 | $600.00 |
| 10-17 11:27 | Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-17 11:07 | Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3029999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 18:10 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.7780627692 | $1.0k |
| 10-14 08:32 | Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4099999992 | $200.00 |
| 10-14 08:31 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.78 | $234.00 |