leftisright
0x1d75500d153e8a00f645a2d943bda54b53b578b9
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $308.4k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.645 | $1.0k | +$71.94 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.535 | $1.0k | +$57.47 |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.455 | $759.45 | −$47.55 |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.294 | 0.660 | $713.76 | +$395.43 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.335 | $439.17 | −$25.58 |
| Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.606 | 0.730 | $295.57 | +$50.19 |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.266 | $90.68 | −$9.32 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$574.78at 0.462Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$386.97at 0.583Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$341.09at 0.387Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$314.44at 0.378Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$313.12at 0.728Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:55 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4643041804 | $146.73 |
| 09-14 16:48 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3177165967 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 16:42 | Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.2067312123 | $208.19 |
| 09-13 15:14 | Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5999812061 | $958.78 |
| 09-13 06:14 | Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.17 |
| 09-12 11:20 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.272463188 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 17:30 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.49 | $939.37 |
| 09-10 10:04 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4740272551 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 19:43 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4716517545 | $8.00 |
| 09-09 12:52 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5248760331 | $6.35 |
| 09-09 11:00 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5549902862 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 10:14 | Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 09-06 06:36 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $180.13 |
| 09-06 06:36 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $298.34 |
| 08-26 14:33 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5527885653 | $209.19 |