josephhtn1
0x1d7453d94bbbf2e0b92fce5993e2f0da20862ff4
- Realised P&L
- $-791.25
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $159.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.952 | 0.941 | $57.02 | −$0.70 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.978 | $50.23 | +$1.41 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.964 | $48.32 | −$0.53 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.969 | $3.16 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.973 | $1.23 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$525.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on August 21?
- +$22.25at 0.890Magic vs. Wizards
- +$1.59at 0.958Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$1.15at 0.972Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.07at 0.931Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 12:01 | XRP Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $525.00 |
| 05-04 13:40 | Blues vs. Jets | BUY | 0.409999999 | $150.00 |
| 05-01 12:31 | Maple Leafs vs. Senators | BUY | 0.5299999984 | $150.00 |
| 04-12 10:25 | Islanders vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.5 | $42.00 |
| 04-09 07:30 | Flyers vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.6299999983 | $122.00 |
| 04-08 06:12 | Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $160.00 |
| 04-03 05:11 | Magic vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.8899999995 | $180.00 |