PolyBot

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Traders

0x1d69F19Cd1c480432A161abb82aa050aCdEa8f9E-1728282317880

0x1d69f19cd1c480432a161abb82aa050acdea8f9e

Realised P&L
$238.98
Volume
$55.4k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$100.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.3540.120$96.99$189.37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2000.031$3.10$16.90
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.08
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.2410.000$0.00$2.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$6.00
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$11.20
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? · No0.0340.000$0.00$4.59
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? · No0.6150.000$0.00$305.90
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23? · No0.2600.000$0.00$50.96
Iran strike on Israel by Friday? · No0.0050.000$0.00$1.52
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$16.48
Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$7.36
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? · No0.5500.000$0.00$21.00
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July? · No0.0070.000$0.00$1.40
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand · New Zealand0.0030.000$0.00$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-24 10:59Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?BUY0.074$1.11
04-07 12:09US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.003$1.02
04-02 15:58Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadBUY0.6299999483$9.78
03-02 20:09Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.6199999942$15.00
02-28 12:26Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?SELL0.001$0.10
02-28 12:26Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?SELL0.003$0.07
02-02 17:01U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY0.32$2.64
02-02 16:59U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY0.39$78.00
02-02 16:59U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY0.3418378218$11.55
02-02 16:59U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY0.32$3.88
02-01 05:08Will India join the Board of Peace?BUY0.17$5.10
01-31 19:19US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.003$0.30
01-26 15:07Will India join the Board of Peace?BUY0.26$5.20
01-25 11:09US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.28$28.00
01-23 18:43Will the US strike Somalia next?BUY0.017$1.02