ga4p
0x1d6986879d8c87c7b409526e304e834807bf7a63
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $377.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,793
- Open portfolio
- $253.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,793
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.50at 0.680Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?
- +$14.30at 0.280Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during executive order signing today?
- +$10.89at 0.420Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Tax" 20+ times during National Agriculture Day events?
- +$10.60at 0.460Will Trump say "NATO" during executive order signing today?
- +$10.40at 0.290Will Bernie Sanders say "Paycheck to Paycheck" 2+ times at the rally on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.45 | $13.23 |
| 08-07 02:45 | BNB Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $0.57 |
| 08-07 02:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $2.22 |
| 08-07 01:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $10.47 |
| 08-07 01:38 | XRP Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $26.10 |
| 08-07 01:38 | BNB Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $1.26 |
| 08-07 01:38 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $7.06 |
| 08-07 01:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $7.54 |
| 08-07 01:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $7.19 |
| 08-06 16:56 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.89 |
| 08-06 16:51 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.5 | $8.12 |
| 08-06 15:18 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 08-06 14:51 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-06 11:34 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 08-06 11:08 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 6? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |