Burnsmaxi
0x1d65fd35be23752be4832c9f9a35f930ed4b4cc6
- Realised P&L
- $587.85
- Volume
- $58.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $760.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.430 | $760.77 | −$371.54 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$782.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$493.15at 0.730Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$433.32at 0.624Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$348.18at 0.890Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$297.36at 0.871Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?
- +$290.79at 0.868Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 17:32 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.7k |
| 04-08 10:14 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $570.49 |
| 04-03 09:39 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting? | BUY | 0.91 | $700.95 |
| 02-25 21:02 | Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9603780587 | $600.00 |
| 01-28 08:37 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $1.1k |
| 01-27 17:19 | Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9611689177 | $900.00 |
| 01-27 17:16 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9217821886 | $3.0k |
| 01-07 20:59 | Ranger FDV above $60M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.899 | $8.90 |
| 01-07 20:57 | Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.8k |
| 01-07 20:57 | Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.8290571961 | $500.00 |
| 01-07 20:52 | Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.7590671812 | $2.4k |
| 01-04 10:34 | Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.6238957417 | $2.0k |
| 01-03 17:24 | Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.993335919 | $1000.00 |
| 12-30 16:16 | Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31? | BUY | 0.870565511 | $2.0k |
| 12-30 13:17 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.5k |