0x1d648428ED7CCBf0C15ecC30B5Df8A9ec02D97fc-1772930321870
0x1d648428ed7ccbf0c15ecc30b5df8a9ec02d97fc
- Realised P&L
- $-7.41
- Volume
- $676.43
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $2.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.39at 0.699Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.76at 0.258Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$1.67at 0.208Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$1.29at 0.371Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
- +$0.95at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:26 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.95 | $2.04 |
| 10-29 17:24 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 16:58 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.26 | $0.62 |
| 10-29 16:53 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.32 | $0.76 |
| 10-29 16:39 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:50 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.98 | $5.01 |
| 10-29 14:44 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 13:02 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 10-29 12:50 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.36 | $1.08 |
| 10-29 12:35 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 18:21 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | SELL | 0.64 | $0.35 |
| 10-28 17:46 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 17:27 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | SELL | 0.35 | $1.20 |
| 10-28 17:13 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 17:30 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | SELL | 0.45 | $1.00 |