0x1d536839135487ccf3effbc8e1351f7b96e873aa
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $4.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.454 | 0.284 | $2.51 | −$1.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Down | 0.660 | 1.000 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.10at 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$2.57at 0.800Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$2.26at 0.819Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
- +$2.11at 0.829Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$1.56at 0.867Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 00:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 00:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.70 |
| 11-01 23:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.10 |
| 11-01 23:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 23:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.34 |
| 11-01 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.08 |
| 11-01 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.24 |
| 11-01 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 22:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.4569999598 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.4439998526 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |