nefedmiop
0x1d52086d8c287212fd126bcb96398267f8c7530d
- Realised P&L
- $4.24
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $276.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.989 | $98.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.975 | $77.95 | +$2.76 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? · No | 0.951 | 0.979 | $49.90 | +$1.40 |
| Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · No | 0.975 | 0.990 | $49.50 | +$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.66at 0.963Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- +$0.77at 0.971Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
- +$0.16at 0.963Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.15at 0.984Netanyahu out by May 31?
- +$0.15at 0.984Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:02 | Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | SELL | 0.97 | $20.93 |
| 04-17 11:29 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |