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0x1d4EbE8DB2d43EC50C2c477574F2a16430c681dE-1769074537682

0x1d4ebe8db2d43ec50c2c477574f2a16430c681de

Realised P&L
$44.46
Volume
$340.17
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$3.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration91.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.2500.162$1.94$1.06
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? · Yes0.5600.155$1.66$4.34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 02:17Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.995$93.28
01-22 15:48Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.25$3.00
01-22 15:46Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.16$15.00
01-22 10:21Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?BUY0.3$15.00
01-22 10:14Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?BUY0.5599999963$6.00
01-22 10:10Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?BUY0.3399999815$11.00
01-22 10:09Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
01-22 10:06Will Trump say "Palestine" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?BUY0.2824445898$10.00